Monday, May 19, 2014

Online Poker Timing Tells – Regulars vs Weaker Players



Hello! We have received several questions about what would happen in our timing tell studies if we filter out the player pool to only include the more common ‘regular’ players. 

If you are unfamiliar with our timing tell studies, you can find them here:


Before we show the filtered results, we would like to discuss our theories of what to expect. 

Regulars playing many tables are likely to spend as little time possible with easy decisions and will save longer actions for difficult or more important decisions. 

Weaker players playing few tables have more time for each decision and will likely have a more unpredictable timing pattern. 

If you recall our theories from the previous posts, they are all based on how a common regular plays. 

Therefore, we expect our timing tell studies to be more accurate and more useful against the common regular. 

Below are the results from the previous timing tell study “3Bet Success Rate in Relation to Timing Ranges”:



Regulars who took a long time to RFI folded to 3Bets about 10% more in comparison to the overall player pool. The quick RFIs fold to 3b% did not change and this is not a surprise. A weaker player who performs a very quick RFI is still likely to be stronger.

Now the results from the previous timing tell study “4Bet Success Rate in Relation to Timing Ranges”:



Regulars who performed quick 3Bets folded to 4Bets about 12% less often in compared to the overall player pool. Regulars who performed longer 3Bets folded to 4Bets around 6.5% more often in comparison to the overall player pool.

Regardless if you are an active table selector, or you play in Zoom games, regulars will always be around you. Attacking common regular’s timing leaks is a good way to improve your win-rate and confidence, especially if you are uncomfortable participating in traditional “reg wars”. 

Thanks for reading and we hope you enjoyed the article!

Download your free trial today at TimeMojo.com

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Online Poker Timing Tell Study Results Part 2 – 4Bet Success Rate in Relation to Timing Ranges



Hi! Today we will be exploring the significance of “Preflop 4Bet Success Rate in Relation to Timing Ranges”. If you are unfamiliar with our timing tell study, we strongly suggest you refer to the first article which can be found here: http://timemojo.blogspot.com/2014/05/online-poker-timing-tell-study-results.html

The stake for review is $2/$5 NL 6max Zoom games on PokerStars. The current sample size we obtained for this stake is about 125,000 hands. 

There are two theories we had before analyzing the data for this trend. 

1. The quickest 3Bets are likely to receive fewer folds to 4Bets in comparison to the overall fold percentage. 

If a player is multi-tabling and they pick up a premium hand with the chance to 3Bet, they will do so quickly in order to move to the next table and decision. 

2. Longer 3Bets are likely to receive more folds to 4Bets in comparison to the overall fold percentage.

Players who take a long time to 3bet are likely debating whether or not they should 3bet a marginal hand. They are checking things like their opponent’s fold to 3bet%, other various HUD stats and current game flow dynamics.

As in the previous study, we used the 3Bet timing median, 7.09 seconds, as a reference point to define a quick and long bet. Below are the results of our theories applied to the sample set: 



From the data shown, you can see that there is a correlation between very quick actions compared to long actions. Specifically, there is about an 11% edge gained in 4Bet bluffing a long 3Bet and an 18% edge lost in 4Bet bluffing a very quick 3Bet.

To spare you from math (please reference the first article’s example for details), we will list the calculated edge gained/lost assuming a 3BB RFI, 9BB 3Bet, a 2.22x sized 4bet bluff and that your opponent will only fold or go all-in.


Please note that we do not advise any player to start 4Bet bluffing every 3Bet of 10.09s+ or to never 4Bet bluff a quick 3Bet. However, this timing read is a powerful filter, that when added to your arsenal, can provide a boost to your win rate and confidence.   

If you have any questions about timing tell strategy or ideas for trend analysis, feel free to contact us on our website: https://timemojo.com/contact-us/

Thanks for reading and we hope you enjoyed the article!

Download your free trial today at TimeMojo.com